Analytics Stories

Preliminaries 3 Topics

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Introduction To Descriptive Statistics

Investment Returns

Random Variables and Women’s Heights

Was the 1969 Draft Lottery Fair? 3 Topics

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1969 Draft Lottery Part One

1969 Draft Lottery Part Two

Draft Lottery Boxplots

Who Won: Gore or Bush? 1 Topic

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Who Won: Gore Or Bush?

Was Liverpool over Barcelona the Greatest Upset in Sports History? 1 Topic

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Ranking Sports Upsets

How Did Bernie Madoff Keep his Fund Going? 6 Topics

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Ponzi Schemes

Bernie’s Alleged Strategy

Benford’s Law And Country Populations

Why Benford’s Law Works

Benford’s Law and Madoff Returns

Sharpe Ratio for Madoff

Is the Lot of the US Worker Improving? 1 Topic

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The US Worker

Measuring Income Inequality 1 Topic

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Measures of Income Inequality

Modeling Relationships Between 2 Variables 3 Topics

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Estimating a Demand Line and the Beta of a Stock

RSQ, Correlations, and Regression to the Mean

The Power Curve and Elasticity

Intergenerational Mobility 3 Topics

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Introduction to Intergenerational Mobility

Computing Rank and IGE

Quintiles and the Gatsby Curve

Is Anderson Elementary a Good School? 1 Topic

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Free Lunch Percentage

Teacher Evaluation Methods 2 Topics

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Teacher Evaluation Based On Tests

Common Teacher Evaluation Methods

Berkeley, Buses, Cars and Planes 2 Topics

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Simpson’s Paradox

Three More Paradoxes

Manu or Melo for HOF? 1 Topic

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Is Carmelo Anthony a Hall of Famer?

Was Derek Jeter a Great Fielder? 1 Topic

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Was Derek Jeter a Great Fielder?

Drive for Show Putt for Dough? 1 Topic

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Golf Analytics

What’s Wrong With the NFL QB Rating? 5 Topics

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Using Regression To Calculate NFL QB Rating

Interpreting Multiple Regression Output

Using the Trend Function to Make Predictions

Problems With the NFL QB Rating

Alternatives to the NFL QB Rating

Some Sports Have All the Luck 1 Topic

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Which Sports Have The Most Skill And Least Luck?

Gerrymandering 1 Topic

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Gerrymandering

Evidence Based Medicine 3 Topics

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Scurvy And Evidence Based Medicine

The Streptomycin Trial

RCT’s And Hormone Replacement

How to Compare Hospitals 1 Topic

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Comparing Hospitals

What is the Worst Health Care Problem in your Country? 2 Topics

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Using DALY’s to Compare Health Problems

DALY Dashboards

Does a Mutual Fund’s Past Performance Predict Future Performance? 5 Topics

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Introduction to Mutual Fund Ratings

The Sortino Ratio

Seeking Alpha

Do Morningstar Ratings do a Good Job of Predicting Future Performance?

How Does the Performance Fee Affect Long-Run Investment Performance?

Is Vegas Good at Picking NFL Games? 3 Topics

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Why do NFL Bets Work?

Evaluating Forecast

Are Point Spreads Biased?

Will My New Hires Be Good Employees? 1 Topic

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Intelligence Is Key Predictor Of Job Performance

Should I Go to Princeton or State U? 1 Topic

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Ivy League Is Overrated

Will my Favorite Sports Team Be Great Next Year? 1 Topic

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Regression to the Mean in the NFL and NBA

Could We Have Predicted the 2008 Recession? 4 Topics

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Using the Inverted Yield Curve and Sahm Rule to Predict Recessions

Conditional Formatting With a Formula

Introduction To SPC

Using Control Charts to Predict the 2008 Housing Crisis

Can Target Tell if a Woman Is Pregnant? 2 Topics

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What Data is Used by Target to Predict if a Woman is Pregnant?

More on Logistic Regression and Target

How does Netflix Rate Movies? 2 Topics

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Introduction to Collaborative Filtering

User Based Collaborative Filtering, The Netflix Prize And House Of Cards

Can the Apple Watch spot AFIB? 3 Topics

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What are Sensitivity, Specificity, and Posterior Probability?

Receiver Operator Characteristic Curve (ROC)

Apple Heart Study

Is Proactive Policing Effective? 2 Topics

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Does Hot Spot Policing Reduce Crime?

Other Police Strategies

Guess How Many are Coming to Dinner? 4 Topics

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A Simple Model to Predict Daily Customers

Setting up the Spreadsheet

Using the Excel Solver

Which Variables are Most Useful for Forecasting Customer Counts?

Prediction Markets 1 Topic

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How Can Prediction Markets be Used to Predict the Future?

The ABCs of Polling 1 Topic

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How Do Polls Work?

Why did the Dress Go Viral? 1 Topic

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Why did the Buzzfeed Dress go Viral?

Predicting Game of Thrones Ratings 2 Topics

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Taylor Swift vs. Adele

Using Google Trends

Does Smoking Cause Lung Cancer? 1 Topic

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Smoking And Lung Cancer

Why are the Houston Rockets a Good Basketball Team? 1 Topic

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Middle School Math and the NBA

Why are Bunts and Intentional Walks Decreasing? 1 Topic

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Why Are Bunts And IBB’s Less Common?

NFL Decision Making 1 Topic

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NFL Decision Making Is Flawed!

Cholera in London 2 Topics

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John Snow The G.O.A.T of Doctors

Bubble Charts in the Time of Cholera

How Does the Marketing Mix Affect Sales? 2 Topics

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Predicting Painter’s Tape Sales

Using the GRG Multistart Solver Engine

Explaining the Pareto Principle 3 Topics

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Pareto Principle and Power Laws

The Long Tail and Power Law for Income

Rich Get Richer and Websites

Does Where you Grow Up Matter? 1 Topic

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Cook County vs. DuPage County

The Waiting is the Hardest Part 2 Topics

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Analyzing Waiting Lines

Data Tables and Queuing

Do Roundabouts Work? 1 Topic

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Why Do Roundabouts Work?

Red Light, Green Light, No Light? 1 Topic

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How Do Ramp Meters Work?

How to Improve K-12 Education 2 Topics

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Reducing K-12 Class Size

Cost Benefit Analysis

How Does A/B Testing Work? 1 Topic

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A/B Testing

How Should I Allocate My Retirement Portfolio? 2 Topics

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Introduction to Portfolio Optimization

Solver Portfolio Optimization

How Do Hedge Funds Work? 3 Topics

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Introduction to Hedge Funds

Convertible Bond and Merger Arbitrage

Global Macro and Worst Case Strategies

Inventory 2 Topics

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How Much Should We Order?

When Should We Order?

How Does the UPS Driver Know the Order to Deliver Packages? 2 Topics

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The Traveling Salesperson Problem

Using The Solver To Solve The TSP

Analytics in Presidential Elections 2 Topics

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Obama and Trump’s Use of Analytics

Solver and Logistic Regression

Can Analytics Save the Republic? 2 Topics

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How to Pick a Winner?

Approval Voting and Quadratic Voting

The Winner’s Curse 2 Topics

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The Winner’s Curse

Avoiding the Winner’s Curse

Music and Analytics 1 Topic

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Can Analytics Recognize, Predict, or Write a Hit Song?

Can Algorithms Improve Parole Decisions? 3 Topics

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How are Algorithms Used in Parole Decisions?

ProPublica and Parole Bias

AI and Parole Decisions

Does the Baseball Shift Work? 1 Topic

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The Shift

How Did Analytics Help the Mavericks Win the 2011 NBA Title? 1 Topic

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Rating Players and Lineups

Who Gets the House in the Hamptons? 1 Topic

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How Can We Fairly Resolve Conflict Among Two Parties?

Analytics and COVID-19 4 Topics

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Explaining the SIR Epidemic Model

Explaining The SEIRS Epidemic Model

Using PivotTables To Summarize COVID-19 data

Covid 19 Around The World

Current Events 1 Topic

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Mail-In Voting

Analytics and the Real World 2 Topics

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Polling

Vaccine Efficacy

Course Content

About Instructor

Wayne Winston

Course Includes

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